Showing posts with label data. Show all posts
Showing posts with label data. Show all posts

Thursday, July 7, 2011

Bank runs begin in Greece and Ireland

Gavyn Davies refers to the image below, which presents a rather disturbing trend in bank deposits in Greece and Ireland. Notably, banks in these two countries in the past year or two have experienced a sharp increase in withdrawals of retail deposits:



Davies suggests they've lost 15% of their deposits, but it could be significantly worse than that -- note that the data in the figure only goes up to around December 2010. Extrapolate the trend through to today and I'm guessing the loss is approaching 30-35%.

Fully one third of the retails deposits in these two nations have been pulled out?! Yikes. Not a good sign. As Davies comments:
As the UK government found in the case of Northern Rock, the appearance of queues outside banks is one of the worst nightmares which a central bank can face. It has not happened in Europe – yet.